FDL will be featuring extensive election night coverage across the country, including the much-anticipated results of Prop 19. And the morning after, everyone will of course be diagnosing “what happened” with 20/20 hindsight. But who really did call the races in advance?
You can place your predictions in the FDL Election Projection Vault (patent pending), which will remain locked until the results are known. So, put on your finest Amazing Kreskin hat, and lay your bets.
Questions:
- How many House seats will Democrats hold in the 112th Congress?
- How many Senate seats will Democrats hold in the 112th Congress?
- Will California’s Proposition 19 pass?
Tiebreaker:
- What will the final percentage be for “Yes” on Prop 19?
To make things easier, we’ll follow the convention of most contests by counting Bernie Sanders as a Democrat because he caucuses with Democrats in the Senate. Joe Lieberman? Well, if he continues to caucus with the Democrats, he counts toward the D number; if he flips next week, well, you and the Democrats will have to count him out. However, any other third party candidates (such as Charlie Crist or Lisa Murkowski) would be counted as “other.”
Rules: You can enter multiple times, but only your final entry will count. If there are two winners, the first entry will take precedence.
Prizes:
1st prize: A DVD of the documentary the Emperor of Hemp, plus a $50 gift certificate for merchandise in the Just Say Now store.
2nd & 3rd prizes: An autographed copy of Matt Taibbi’s new book, Griftopia: Bubble Machines, Vampire Squids, and the Long Con That Is Breaking America -OR- an autographed copy of Arianna Huffington’s new book, Third World America.
The “experts” are all over the map on this election, and so is the polling. And everyone is wildly hedging their bets. Can you beat them all?
We’ll all find out together Tuesday night as the results come in. Place your bets and join us Tuesday for FDL’s complete election coverage!



50 Comments
First. And the winner, I’m sure :)
“Will California’s Proposition 19 pass?”… of course it will… what would you expect from a Libtard state with a bunch of useless dope smokers? This is like asking a 5 year old if they want to have cake for dinner every night…
I’ve submitted my vote, and a consensus of the polls and pundits indicates that I will be the winner, so the rest of you should not bother voting.
I won the 08 contest, beating out some ‘very serious’ prognosticators, you sure about that bunky ? :D
OMG you are wickedly funny, girlfriend. :)
Done. I hate it when I have to bet against what I want.
Indeed .. I hope to hell I am wrong .. but winning comes first .. put yer bongs away where the Feds canna’ see em ..
fyi – Kris is my son :D
Larry Sabato says that the Rs will pick up 55 House seats and 8 Senate seats. Sounds about right to me.
I’m expecting the worst on Election Night. It’s a good thing I’m working second shift that week because I’d be roaring drunk by the time the polls closed in California.
My soothsaying skills are non-existent so I won’t clutter up the database but it’s gonna be fun to see the spread of questimates after the election.
But you’re the one that taught me the ninja skillz!
I’m trying to devise a Paul the Octopus type gig for Doralee
I’ll see yer lion vid and raise ya some cub pics.
I’m predicting the Democrats will only just retain control of the House but retain control of the Senate by 4 seats. The prediction that I’ve made based only on optimism is that prop 19 will pass. Again barely.
I was really surprised at Paul’s young age then looked up the species. Six months to 5 year life span.
Really? Wow! FDL is truly a family affair for you guys. :)
All this time an’ you didn’t know that? *g*
Nope. Guess I’m just clueless.
Aw, you just missed it. When Kris made his appearance there wasn’t a big deal about it. Really cool, though.
I figured it out when CBL commented one day “good morning, baby.” I thought that was really sweet.
I thought she was being silly.
The Lake is prolly unique in that respect. Is there another blog with a family participating?
Anyway, it’s way cool and easy to see where KrisA gets his progressive bent.
Hey, Margaret, how are you?
Back to work.
Namaste
209, 52, No, and 48.84%
I have very little faith in humanity ;-)
Way windy today! Kuroneko wants to stand in the doorway and sniff the air instead of just going outside already.
Not bad but slow in the uptake apparently. :)
Not too far off mine.
217, 54 and 52.55
Totally OT, but Vamos Gigantes!
I think if you graphed all of FDL responses, it would look like an impossibly crowded dart board pattern.
Must. Hate. Rangers.
Our Giants are really something !
I’m lucky it isn’t the Padres vs the Rangers. My head would explode. I might have to disconnect all outside input and hunker down until the World Series is over and the chatter had died down.
Really? I went 228, 54, Yes, 50.4
Could we please, as an alternative to the “main programming,” have a re-run of movie night with Sharktapus?
Seems quite appropriate.
Breaking news. Markos Moulitsas quotes Larry Sabato and Nate Silver. But Kos remains even more brilliant than his sidekicks.
The good news about the elections is that the Blue
DoucheDog “Democrats” seem to be set to lose the most seats. If the Democrats can’t the correct lesson from that, then they are hopeless indeed.…..If the Democrats can’t LEARN the correct lesson from that…..
I think you’re slightly younger than me, and thus slightly more optimistic. :-)
I don’t know what Margarets excuse is. :-P :-)
I’ve got to be an optimist or surrender to despair and sadly, that is the unadulterated, snark free truth.
Very kewl that FDL is part of your family! Actually, I meant my comment for Jane in response to her post (I’m all goofed up with these nested threads!). However, I’ve also notice you two are quite spirited as well. :)
Oh awesome the HTML edit bar is back! :)
The timer function for “edit before expiration” is still mega-fast for me as I am on a slower “consumer market” level connection a couple of orders up from snail-dial (I expect most of us have this situation). The time-out multiple by a factor of 4 would be more comfy.
I never lost the edit link but the 0.5 nanosecond edit time wasn’t enough for an old hippie.
Can we not get enthralled by this as a ‘horse race’, please?!
These next two years are going to be an unmitigated disaster for the public, and whatever is left of Democracy. We should be holding a WAKE!
Is the FDL Election Projection Vault (patent pending) like a Lockbox? Cuz I would want my projection in a Lockbox. A Lockbox would protect my projection properly.
It’s a simple Yes or No question, Jane: Do you have a Lockbox? Just answer the question, Lockbox, Yes or No? Cuz a Lockbox is our only real guarantor.
We’re working on a fix for that very very soon, promise!
Respectfully disagree. We should be in the streets…and in our spare time we should be stockpiling food, fuel, medicine, batteries, seeds, and ammunition, as well as learning some household and field chemistry, first aid, and how to generate our own electricity.
I know how that sounds, but none of that could ever be called wasteful. YMMV.