For over a month now, Republican Rand Paul has managed to maintain a modest lead over Democrat Jack Conway in the Kentucky open Senate race, and with only a week left until the election, signs point to a Paul victory. PPP is out with a new poll showing Paul with a 13 point lead.
PPP (PDF) (10/21-24)
Rand Paul (R) 53
Jack Conway (D) 40
While this is one of the largest leads ever for Paul in public polling, all recent pollsters have had him in the lead. For example, a recent Mason-Dixon poll (PDF) had Paul up by five points.
The PPP poll found President Obama garnered only a 34 percent approval rating in the state. In this political environment, it is very difficult for any Democrat to win in a place where their president is so unpopular.