The Colorado Senate race remains one of the closest in the country, according to both the latest SurveyUSA and PPP polls. Democratic incumbent Michael Bennet and Republican Ken Buck are tied at 47 percent each.

Senate
SurveyUSA (10/19-21)
Michael Bennet (D) 47
Ken Buck (R) 47
Other 5
Undecided 1

PPP (PDF) (10/21-23)
Michael Bennet (D) 47
Ken Buck (R) 47
Undecided 6

Ken Buck had a small lead about a month ago, but that seems to have disappeared. Buck recently said being gay was a choice. He is also being hammered for his refusal to proceed with a rape case and for his extreme anti-abortion stances. These developments seem to have really moved women toward Bennet. The other good news for Bennet is that he currently leads 51-45 among the 40 percent of individuals who have already voted, according to SurveyUSA.

Governor
SurveryUSA

John Hickenlooper (D) 49
Tom Tancredo (ACP) 39
Dan Maes (R) 9

PPP
John Hickenlooper (D) 47
Tom Tancredo (ACP) 44
Dan Maes (R) 5
Undecided 4

It appears that Denver’s Democratic Mayor John Hickenlooper will win the governor’s race, although PPP has it close enough that there is a chance former Representative Tom Tancredo, the American Constitution Party candidate, could win. Perhaps the more interesting thing is how low Republican Dan Maes is polling. If he ends up with less the 10 percent of the vote, Colorado state law dictates that the Republican party loses its “major” party status. It looks like we are facing a real possibility of that here. If so, the GOP will be officially downgraded for the 2012 and 2014 election; this would result in lower ballot placement and trouble fundraising for statehouse candidates.