So far this year, no major political contest has been found to be so consistently tied over such a long period by so many pollsters as the Nevada Senate race. The latest PPP poll of likely voters is no exception, it finding Harry Reid leading by only two points.
PPP (PDF) (10/7-9)
Harry Reid (D) 47
Sharron Angle (R) 45
Scott Ashjian (T) 2
None of these 2
Both candidate remain very unpopular, so it is a contest between who is less objectionable. The good news for Reid is that his campaign has been very successful in pushing the narrative that Angle is a radical. A majority of likely voters, 53 percent, think Angle’s views are extremist while only 39 percent think they are mainstream.
If Democrats can put together a great turnout operation and find a way to get their supporters who were less likely to vote this year more engaged, then Reid has serious potential for growth. From Tom Jensen:
Reid’s small lead comes with a projected electorate that voted for Barack Obama by only 2 points in 2008, in contrast to his actual 12 point victory in the state. That’s one of the largest enthusiasm gaps we’re seeing anywhere in the country and if Democratic interest in the election picks up down the stretch Reid could see his lead expand to a more comfortable margin. If that doesn’t change this is bound to be one of the closest races in the country on election night.
Of course, it is very hard to Nevadans excited about supporting the Senate Majority Leader that was in power while his state’s unemployment climbed from roughly 5 percent to over 14 percent.