Throughout this cycle, SurveyUSA’s polling in California has been slightly less favorable for Democrats, but the most recent poll for CBS 5 shows clear movement in favor of Gubernatorial candidate Jerry Brown and incumbent Sen. Barbara Boxer. Both Democrats now lead in their respective races:
Meg Whitman (R) 43
Jerry Brown (D) 46
Carly Fiorina (R) 43
Barbara Boxer (D) 49
The previous SurveyUSA poll of California from three weeks ago found Whitman leading Brown 47-40 and Fiorina beating Boxer 48-46, so this is clearly serious movement.
While polling from earlier this year shows Boxer in potential trouble, most recent polling has her with a small but clear lead. The race is breaking down along very partisan lines, and with Democrats having such a large edge in California registrations, Boxer has a solid base to draw on.
The race for governor remains tighter. Only three points separate Brown and Whitman in this SurveyUSA poll, and a recent Field poll has the two candidates tied:
Field Poll (9/14-21)
Jerry Brown (D) 41
Meg Whitman (R) 41
Since March, all of Field’s polls have shown the race effectively tied with very little movement, which is remarkable given that Whitman has run the most expensive self-funded campaign in history.