Throughout this cycle, SurveyUSA’s polling in California has been slightly less favorable for Democrats, but the most recent poll for CBS 5 shows clear movement in favor of Gubernatorial candidate Jerry Brown and incumbent Sen. Barbara Boxer. Both Democrats now lead in their respective races:

SurveyUSA (9/19-21)
Meg Whitman (R) 43
Jerry Brown (D) 46
Other 8
Undecided 3

Carly Fiorina (R) 43
Barbara Boxer (D) 49
other 6
Undecided 2

The previous SurveyUSA poll of California from three weeks ago found Whitman leading Brown 47-40 and Fiorina beating Boxer 48-46, so this is clearly serious movement.

While polling from earlier this year shows Boxer in potential trouble, most recent polling has her with a small but clear lead. The race is breaking down along very partisan lines, and with Democrats having such a large edge in California registrations, Boxer has a solid base to draw on.


The race for governor remains tighter. Only three points separate Brown and Whitman in this SurveyUSA poll, and a recent Field poll has the two candidates tied:

Field Poll (9/14-21)
Jerry Brown (D) 41
Meg Whitman (R) 41
Undecided/Other 18

Since March, all of Field’s polls have shown the race effectively tied with very little movement, which is remarkable given that Whitman has run the most expensive self-funded campaign in history.