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With the primary tomorrow, three polling firms, Mason-Dixon (PDF), Quinnipiac and PPP (PDF), are out with their final surveys of the Democratic Senate primary and the Republican gubernatorial primary in Florida. All three pollsters agree that Rep. Kendrick Meek now has at least a ten-point lead over Billionaire Jeff Greene. Meek appears to be in good shape to win the nomination tomorrow:
Mason-Dixon (PDF) (8/17-19)
Kendrick Meek 42
Jeff Greene 30
Maurice Ferre 4
Glenn Burkett 1
Undecided 23
Quinnipac (8/21-22)
Kendrick Meek 39
Maurice Ferre 3
Jeff Greene 29
Some else 2
DK/NA 28
PPP (PDF) (8/21-22)
Glenn Burkett 5
Maurice Ferre 4
Jeff Greene 27
Kendrick Meek 51
Undecided 13
In the race for the Republican nom for governor there is less agreement–the pollsters are all over the map with their numbers. Mason-Dixon has Bill McCollum with a substantial nine-point lead over Billionaire Rick Scott, Quinnipiac shows the race close, with a modest four-point lead for McCollum, and PPP has Scott with a seven-point lead:
Mason-Dixon (PDF) (8/17-19)
Bill McCollum 45
Rick Scott 36
Mike McAlister 4
Undecided 15
Quinnipac (8/21-22)
Bill McCollum 39
Rick Scott 35
Some else 4
DK/NA 22
PPP (PDF) (8/21-22)
Bill McCollum 40
Rick Scott 47
Undecided 13
It is possible that Mason-Dixon missed a late bounce for Scott because its poll was taken earlier. Quinnipiac did find Scott improving significantly from roughly a week ago when they had him was trailing McCollum by nine. Still, the three polls diverge significantly.
The GOP Gov race has been brutal, killing the favorable numbers of both McCollum and Scott. The result maybe low voter enthusiasm, and a low-turnout primary, which is harder to predict. If the race has turned off all but the most dedicated conservative primary voters, that would benefit Scott, who according to PPP, has a big lead among members of that group.
4 Comments
The Repub Gov race is between a clueless right wingnut AG/former congressman and a clueless right wing nut corrupt bidnessman.
Glad I don’t live in Florida. I couldn’t stand looking at or listening to that sanctimonious piece of GOP shit during Bubba’s impeachment.
Floridians need to watch OutRage before they make a decision to vote for Charlie Crist this November. He’s a dangerously ambitious closeted homosexual who’d do anything to advance his career. We should be frightened of this level of untruth-telling and lack of personal integrity in the 21st century. Floridians: wake up, please, and don’t promote this liar to DC.
You haven’t dealt with Rubio, Greene or Meek, have you? I can’t remember very many pols in the last 30 years who weren’t self-serving, opportunistic liars.