Thanks to a brutal Republican primary battle between Attorney General Bill McCollum and billionaire Rick Scott, Democrat Alex Sink has been able to take the lead for the first time in Quinnipac’s newest poll.
Quinnipac (8/11-16)
Alex Sink (D) 31
Bill McCollum (R) 29
Bud Chiles (I) 12
Someone else 2
Wouldn’t Vote 5
DK/NA 21
Alex Sink (D ) 33
Rick Scott (R ) 29
Bud Chiles (I ) 12
Someone else 1
Wouldn’t Vote 4
DK/NA 20
This represents modest but significant improvement since July when Quinnipiac last polled the race. At the time, they found Sink trailing both potential Republican opponents slightly. I also suspect that Sink is currently in better shape than this poll indicates. Bud Chiles in the son of popular former Democratic governor Lawton Chiles, and is drawing much more of his support from Democrats than Republicans. If Chiles remains trapped in the low teens going into November, and, as a result, is viewed as having no chance of winning, I suspect Sink’s numbers would go up somewhat as some of Chiles Democratic support switches to Sink.
Sink’s rise in the polls reflects her all-time high net-favorable numbers. Both of her potential Republicans opponents have spent the summer tearing each other down. Their brutal primary has pushed them both into net-unfavorable territory. Even the RGA is has stepped in to try to tone down an attack ad from Scott.
Quinnipiac also polled the Senate race, which for now remains stable with independent Gov. Charlie Crist holding onto a modest plurality, Republican Marco Rubio in second, and the Democrat stuck in the low teens. There has been little change since last month:
Quinnipac (8/11-16)
Kendrick Meek (D ) 16
Marco Rubio (R ) 32
Charlie Crist (I ) 39
Someone else 1
Wouldn’t Vote 3
DK/NA 10
Jeff Green (D) 15
Marco Rubio (R) 32
Charlie Crist (I) 40
Wouldn’t Vote 3
DK/NA 10



17 Comments
This is what happens when GOPs hire wingnut consultants who hire rent-boys.
Rick Scott is frankly ridiculous and his huge spending attack ads are brutal
Those pearls look like they could use some clutching.
So when the tumult and the shouting dies, even if she picks up every vote for Chiles, she’ll maybe have 45%. Am I supposed to get excited? Pray tell why? I’m just waiting for the obligatory statement on the NOT “Ground Zero” NOT “Mosque.” That ought to help, right?
Sink just declared yesterday that an attorney in practice here in Gainesville, Rod Smith, will be her running mate. He narrowly lost in the primary for Governor last time (against Sink’s husband, strangely enough).
Wait till somebody suggests marriage equality to her.
Sorry to be a dope, but nowhere in the article do you identify what state this is.
“Brutal” as in effective, or brutal as in totally worthless?
Sink joined the reichwingers in opposing the community center. Hellooo, Bud Chiles.
Floriduh.
Florida. In the future as sea level rises it will be a smaller problem.
Thanks. I see the heading has been changed to include FL.
Marion…if Sink picks up only half the Chiles vote and half the undecided she wins by 3-4%. You have to subtract the “won’t vote” and “nobodies” from the final tally. You’d think that anyone wanting to vote for McConnell or Chiles would have decided. They are the known quantities. I think her advantage is name recognition and she doesn’t have the taint of the mud they are throwing upon one another. She might benefit from her higher profile as the election approaches.
My guess is that some of those Meek supporters will jump to Crist if he doesn’t pull away as the election approaches. I can’t think of Meek getting up in numbers to become competitive.
Although Sink is far too Blue Dog for my tastes her strategy so far has been pretty sound. She sat back and let Scott and McCollum sling poo at each other for 2 months before running an ad that makes her sound reasonable and sane. Those 2 republicans have been in a “let’s see who can can show themselves to be the most reactionary rigthwing crazy” contest all summer and the ads run nonstop here in my very red district.
Crist and Rubio haven’t stooped quite as low yet but every time Rubio tacks farther to the right Crist goes left so that is good if it holds. As to Meeks, not one ad yet that I’ve seen. I got a mailer last week and that’s been the extent of his campaign thus far. Chiles has done nothing yet and the primary is Tuesday. The old dry powder approach to campaigning by the democrats again.
Former Management at Bank of America. Last thing the Democratic party needs is another right-winger. Hell, last thing America needs is another supply-side true-believer.
Progressives would do well to disassociate themselves and their cash from this person. Better to let a lunatic hold the post for a while and get a real, sane, non-right-wing candidate for the next election. Better yet, start recall/impeachment agitation against whichever of the 3 right-wingers wins in the current election.
Sink’s ‘Ground 0 Mosque’ stance was disappointing. But, of all the candidates (who have a chance of winning), she is the only one who has the backbone to oppose the Florida Legislature.
It’s a serious issue of balance.
The Republicans have been busy since ’96 dismantling state government which began, in earnest, with Jeb’s election in ’98. They’re about done with round 1 and are warming up to the same kind of attack on pension benefits. They’ve already passed an elimination of the health insurance subsidy for retirees which Crist vetoed when he tacked left. They will pass it again next session. They’re about to phase out DROP and force all new hires into the Investment Plan.
Sink also, as a Democratic CFO, canceled some of Jeb’s biggest privatization boondoggles, such as Aspire which was a several hundred million dollar pile of what Lyndon Johnson wouldn’t have called chicken salad.
She has her faults and she is definitely a Blue Dog. But she sees the Republican agenda for what it is and they won’t blue sky her as rent-a-boy did McCollum (with considerable help from himself).
The toll for the oil spill is just beginning to register on Florida(and the Gulf). She will turn BP inside out. She is not litigation shy. She is also the only chance to stop the foot dragging on HCR.
I wouldn’t call her a progressive. But I wouldn’t call her afraid either.
I wish Alex Sink was a good campaigner but she is not. And, about all she will be able to do (if elected)against a totally Republican legislature is put her finger in the dike..alas, Florida is a Republican, rightwingnut wasteland of stupidity…and I live here.