According to a new Sacramento Bee/Field Poll of registered California voters regarding their use, experience and opinions on marijuana, a small majority of voters supports legalization. The poll is interesting because it gave voters a menu of options from which to choose their preferred marijuana policy.

Field Poll (July 2010)

Question % Support
Legalize marijuana with age and other controls like those for alcohol 47%
Strickly enforce present laws and penalties 19%
Pass new laws with even tougher penalties 14%
Keep present laws, but make penalties less severe 13%
Legalize marijuana so it can be purchased and used by anyone 4%

Maintaining the current marijuana policy is in fact an extreme minority position in the state. Only a third of voters supports strictly enforcing the current laws against marijuana or passing even tougher laws.

Combining the small group of voters who think marijuana should be legal for everyone with those who support legalizing and regulating it like alcohol results in a total of 51 percent of voters supporting legalization.

Combining that 51 percent with the 13 percent of voters who believe the penalties for marijuana should be reduced without legalization results in a huge majority of the state either supporting significantly relaxing California’s current marijuana laws or legalization.

Interestingly, the percentage of voters who support legalizing marijuana, 51 percent, is almost identical to but slightly larger than the 47 percent of voters who have admitted to using marijuana at least once  in their life.

In comparison to other polls

The poll didn’t ask directly about Prop 19, but support for the ballot measure should be very similar to overall support for marijuana legalization. While this Field poll found 51 percent of registered voters support marijuana legalization, another Field poll of likely voters from early July had Prop 19 losing 44-48 percent. This could be a sign of a slight increase in support for legalization, statistical noise or just a result of the difference between registered voters and likely voters. In normal midterm elections, the people who actually show up to vote tend to be older than the average for all registered voters. Older voters are less supportive of Prop 19, making the issue of youth turnout critical in this election.

This latest poll is in line with polling we have seen on Prop 19 from SurveyUSA (50% yes, 40% no) and PPP (52% yes, 36% no). There appears to be a small majority of voters in California who favor legalizing, taxing and regulating cannabis. It looks like the Prop 19 outcome will be very close. What is yet to be seen is whether Prop 19 will convince those who support legalizing marijuana to turn out in very large numbers this November to put it over the top. Midterm elections are often considered “base” elections where the key factor is less about convincing undecided voters than turning out the base of solid supporters.