Next Tuesday is primary day in Georgia, with the big race being the open primaries in both major parties for governor. On the Democratic side, former governor Ray Barnes is in good shape with 54 percent of the vote according to a new poll of likely voters by Mason-Dixon. He has over a thirty-point lead over his nearest rival, and will likely be able to win the nomination outright. The real action looks to be in the crowd Republican race. From Savannah Morning News:

DEMOCRATS

Roy Barnes: 54 percent
Thurbert Baker: 20 percent
David Poythress: 7 percent
DuBose Porter: 3 percent
Undecided: 16 percent

REPUBLICANS

John Oxendine: 31 percent
Karen Handel: 23 percent
Nathan Deal: 18 percent
Eric Johnson: 6 percent
Ray McBerry: 2 percent
Jeff Chapman: 1 percent
Undecided: 19 percent

While state insurance commissioner John Oxendine has a strong lead, his numbers indicate that it is unlikely he will be able to avoid a runoff on August 10th. With the runoff likely, the most important thing to note on Tuesday may not be who wins the Republican primary, but who comes in second. Karen Handel and Nathan Deal both have a shot at making it to the second round as the runner-up to Oxendine.