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Republican Rand Paul and Democrat Jack Conway are tied in their Kentucky Senate race, 43-43, according to a new PPP poll. Kentucky is currently held by retiring Republican Jim Bunning, making this Senate race, along with Missouri, New Hampshire and North Carolina, one of the Democrats’ best hopes for going on the offensive in 2010.
PPP 6/28-30
Conway 43
Paul 43
Undecided 14
It appears Conway’s best hope is to turn the spotlight on Paul and depict him as a man with extreme views, far outside the mainstream. The increased media attention on Paul’s more controversial statements has hurt his favorability numbers. From the PPP blog:
The more Kentucky voters get to know Rand Paul, the less they like him. When PPP first polled the race in December Paul’s favorability was a +3 spread at 26/23. By May it was a -7 spread at 28/35. Now it’s a -8 spread at 34/42. The national media attention Paul has received has hurt his cause with voters in the state–38% say it has made them less likely to support Paul while 29% say it has made them more inclined to vote for him and 33% say it hasn’t had an impact on their attitude toward Paul one way or the other.
The fact that Democrat Conway is doing well in a Republican-leaning state in what is shaping up to be a good year for the GOP is a reminder that there is some truth to the old line, “All politics is local.”
6 Comments
Ha ha HA. I was wondering why I hadn’t seen any fawning press coverage of Randy lately.
Well here’s the thing – Social Security is still the third rail. Oppose it at your peril.
something even congressional Democrats seem to stupid to understand.
You do realize that this is the same pollster that had Conway behind by only 1 point, just before the primary, right? and that their breakdown of voters assumes MORE Democrats will vote in 2010 than voted in 2008, and fewer GOP and independents will?
Also, he doesn’t oppose SS, now that people have been paying into it. He thinks there will be nothing to give if it isn’t fixed, though, and would gradually raise the age to 70.
You do realize that if interest rates go up to 15% as they were in the 70s, the $400 billion per year we now pay on interest on the national debt would be our entire budget?
Conway won by less than one point. That is well with in the polls margin of error of 4%.
I dunno about the pollster, but it’s gotta be true that “the better voters get to know R P the less they like him.”
Unless you’re part of the nutso 20%, he comes off worse and worse every time he opens his mouth in public.