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Tonight is a primary night with elections in Kentucky, Pennsylvania, Arkansas and Oregon. Polls close at (all eastern times)
Kentucky: 6 pm
Pennsylvania: 8 pm
Arkansas: 8:30 pm
Oregon: 11 pm
Election results for Kentucky can be found at AP or Politico.
The big races are the contested Senate primaries in KY, PA and AR, and the special election in PA-12 Congressional district to replace Democrat John Murtha. David Dayen has a primer on the races to watch this evening and so does Swing State Project. Ben Tribbett examines what you should be watching for in the Arkansas primary.
Results should start coming in from Kentucky very shortly. (Feel free to post your prediction for the results this evening in the comment sections.)
6:03 – Greg Sargent is reporting that turnout has been very light in Pennsylvania, which should favor Joe Sestak over Arlen Specter.
6:24 – The very first results are just starting to come in from the eastern part of Kentucky. With less than 1 percent of precincts reporting in the Senate, it is Democrats Dan Mongiardo 50.5 – Jack Conway 37.7, and Republicans Rand Paul 49.9 – Trey Grayson 43.3.
6:48 – With just over 1% it is Mongiardo 48 – Conway 39 and Paul 51 – Grayson 42. The results are coming from what should be a more Grayson heavy part of the state. I would not be surprised if the Republican Senate primary is called very early this evening.
7:00 – All polls are now closed across Kentucky. The state has parts in both the eastern and central time zones.
7:10 – About 6% reporting Mongiardo 45- Conway 42 and Paul 55 – Grayson 39. Things are looking very good for Paul.
7:20 – 13% reporting Mongiardo 40 – Conway 47 and Paul 51 – Grayson 34. I agree with Nate Silver you can basically call this election for Rand Paul at this point.
7:40 – It looks like Republican Andy Barr will easily win the right to take on incumbent Ben Chandler in KY-6. With 30% reporting he has 67% with all other candidates in the single digits.
7:48 – The AP finally called it for Rand Paul. 32% reporting Paul 59 – Grayson 37. Paul might actually out perform polling. This is not a good day for Mitch McConnell. He might be the most powerful Republican in Washington right now but his endorsement of Grayson basically meant nothing.
Ron Paul helped get a form of audit the fed passed, won several Republican 2012 straw polls, and just had his son dominate in an important Senate primary. Things are going pretty will for Ron Paul right now.
8:00 – I have started part 2 of my coverage here
47 Comments
Poll results at KY can be found here:
http://results.enr.clarityelections.com/KY/15261/25359/en/summary.html
Less than 11,000 votes total so far. Turn-out for primaries is typically a lot lower than mid-terms or presidential elections, so I wouldn’t recommend watching total registered voters.
It will really be a disaster for the Democrats if a moderate like Blanche Lincoln is run out of the party.
[/Village]
For the record, the Kentucky polls close at 6PM local time (which means all polls in the state will not actually be closed until 7PM eastern time since the state is split
GOP, Dem total turnout during the primaries should be interesting lets see how enthused voters really are.
The KY Rep primary is closed so it is not a great comparison in that state.
Will the “center” hold?
Yes Bill Clinton and the Center Dems will scream the party is being taken over by hippies:)
Now only if that were true.
How does a closed primary affect turnout?
Yes lifetime navy career admiral hippies. The worst type of hippies.
Not if Things Come Undone:)
Not just Republican primary – all primary elections in KY are closed.
Probably still better than Blanche and a bunch of people calling themselves Dems.
Yes sorry my mistake. With higher Dem registration you need to compare relative turn out compared to number of people registered to the party not overall numbers.
Fineman predicts that if the dems lose PA-12, it’s bell weather for Nov.
Typo alert, boss:
In PA, Rendell is already crying that the rain here is hurting turnout for Scottish Haggis
each race is like a snowflake. No two are alike but PA-12 is the kind of majority maker that Republicans would need if they wanted to take the House. Of course Dem primary should help the Dem.
HA! Nice one, I love it, TCU, I knew your moniker had something to do with T. S. Eliot.
may the heavens open wide.
Yeah Riiight!I guess we all better get on our knees & ask forgiveness.
I just saw this meme being pedaled on TV suddenly over the past week
“Blanche Lincoln will win”.
I heard pretend progressives Bill Press, & Ed Shultz’s favourite “progressive”(Steve McMahon)championing this crap.
Seem like they received the WH memo quite ahead of time.
I want Blanche and Snarlin’ Arlin to lose so badly I can taste it!
You and me!
And with such a sensitive palate, too.
I am with ya!
It would be a victory for ordinary Americans.
Why have there not been any election reform……you know those voting machines ? hmmmmmm!
Are you sure Schultz was supporting Lincoln? From what I heard he was on Halter’s side. Press oth is a tool.
I was the 50th dem to vote in my pct. at about 1:30 which was about 20% of the registered dems. I’m in Sestak’s district so the turnout will probably be a little higher where I’m at and will undoubtedly favor Joe.
I do know that if Arlen and Dan Onerato are on the ticket in Nov. I stay home.
No,he is supporting Halter,but his guests on the show,Bill Press & Steve McMahon, they live in the village,are the ones who were uttering the Lincoln will win theme.
they also said that Blumenthal in CT is toast. Hard to know how that will play out but they were both very very certain of their opinions.
Hah, NO! Traditional election night nosh here is cocktail weenies & beer!
don’t forget the chocolate.
MSNBC called it for Rand Paul…!
I didn’t say Discriminating.
Here, it’s home made chicken soup. And, early in the returns.
Or will the center fold? :)
Hi, Deb.
I read somewhere today that the Grayson folks hate Rand Paul, and could well vote dem.
hi demi. You all are paying attention to my part of the country—at least for the next hour or two.
An exciting place to be right now. We have to wait until next month for any Ca excitement.
And, sending you only white light, D.
exciting is not exactly the word I would use. Interesting perhaps. There are no longer any really exciting candidates to back. Anyone who gets this far or beyond is fatally compromised already. It’s a feature not a bug. That’s what corporate America wants and they always get what they want.
new thread already? only 39 comments on this one. Things have changed around here. A lot.
Si, Senora.
More just changing because polls just closed in PA
That, too. But, you might want to admit…just a little?
And, I don’t think change is bad. I mean, look who’s up at the top thread. That’s hopeful change. The writer, not the subject necessarily. :)
From the Louisville Courier-Journal (48% of the vote reported):
Conway , Jack Dem 121,327 48%
Mongiardo , Daniel Dem 98,822 39%
Price , Darlene Dem 13,484 5%
Sweeney , Maurice Dem 9,613 4%
Buckmaster , James Dem 7,114 3%
Yep – Jim W has really earned some status here.
But in fairness, the front page schedule for the longest time has new posts (except for movie night on Mondays cause that runs for 90 minutes) at (my time zone) 6pm, 7pm, 8pm, 9pm (LN) and 11pm (LLN)
But, also if there’s “breaking”, no? Maybe not in this case, but still. I was looking at the spirit of what Revdeb said. Or trying to, at any rate.