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Democrats Are Practically Begging for Obama to Be Impeached

By: Tuesday July 29, 2014 11:15 am

The DCCC has been making bank by fueling fears that Republicans will try to impeach Obama

In the bizarre upside down world which is Washington D.C. you have Democrats effectively trying to get their own President impeached. It is not that Democrats actually want to see Obama forced from office, they just think impeachment proceedings would be really good for them politically. So now Democrats use every possibly excuse to bring up the big “I” word.

This new press release today from the DCCC is a perfect example of how desperately they reach for it:

As Republicans barrel forward with their expensive taxpayer-funded lawsuit, political observers are asking whether House Republicans continue their reckless political theatre and pursue Act II: impeachment? With the third-highest-ranking Republican Steve Scalise refusing to rule out impeachment, House Republicans in competitive races around the country are pushing for impeachment.

Clearly, impeachment is just around the corner because the third ranking member dodged a question.

The political strategy is simple. Talking up impeachment brings in a lot of donations.

It also, though, increases the chances of it actually happening. The more Democrats talk about impeachment, the more attentions its gets and the more seriously it is taken. This in turn emboldens that part of the Republican base who want Obama impeached to put pressure on their elected officials. As more Republican members feel they need to say something positive about impeachment, you get new fuel to feedback into the cycle.

While impeachment is not going to happen — Speaker Boehner has made clear he will not fall for this “scam” — it remains true that Democrats have technically adopted a strategy that marginally increases the chance of impeachment.

When you have gotten to a point where the political incentives would actually favor a party for indirectly trying to get their own president impeached, you have to start questioning if there is something wrong with the structure of your democracy.

Voters Feel Some 2012 Buyer’s Remorse

By: Monday July 28, 2014 9:45 am

If the 2012 election was held again today 53% say they would back Romney while 44% would vote for Obama

President Obama’s job approval rating has been negative for months and it has gotten so bad a majority of voters now wish he lost his re-election. If the Presidential election was held again today 53 percent of voters say they would back Mitt Romney while only 44 percent would vote for Barack Obama according to a new CNN/ORC poll.

This is not completely surprising given that the last time Obama’s job approval rating was positive, according to Gallup’s daily tracking poll, was for brief moment last September. At the moment his average approval rating is in the low 40′s.

The survey isn’t all horrible news for Democrats. It did find Democrats have a modest lead in the generic Congressional ballot. If that election took place today 48 percent would back the Democrat in their district while only 44 percent would back the Republican. This is a improvement from their two point lead in the same poll last month.

Congressional Democrats are still in decent shape, but it is unlikely they will be getting any help from their President. There are probably no competitive districts or states where he would be a real asset at the moment.

Republicans Really Like the Plan to Sue Obama but No One Else Does

By: Friday July 25, 2014 12:36 pm

Given how truly bizarre and logically incoherent the goals of the suit are, the politics behind it are simple.

Next week the House Republicans will vote on their plan to sue President Obama over the employer mandate for the Affordable Care Act. Given how truly bizarre and logically incoherent the goals of the suit are, it makes no sense from a policy perspective, but the politics behind it are incredibly simple.

The Republicans’ base wants their elected Republican to ‘do something’ about what they perceive to be the out-of-control and terrible Obama. What this something is and how it would actually inhibit Obama remains vague.

According to a new CNN/ORC poll, 80 percent of regular Republicans think Obama has “gone too far” in expanding the powers the presidency. So you have 57 percent of Republicans wanting Obama to be impeached and removed from office, and 75 percent supporting this lawsuit.

The problem for Congressional Republicans is no one outside their small base likes the idea. The poll found 65 percent of independents oppose impeachment and 55 percent don’t support this suit.

Giving their base the impeachment they want would be a huge ugly political fight the GOP would lose. It is the kind of major news story that can mobilize opposition and change voters’ minds.

So instead, Republicans came up with this convoluted lawsuit to politically thread the needle. They can tell their base they are ‘doing something’ while not upsetting everyone else. Independents don’t like the suit, but it is probably obscure and technical enough that it won’t be changing any minds.

Democrats think they might be able to score some points off it, but once you start talking about how much discretion the executive branch has in order  to delay individual provisions of the ACA, I suspect most eyes will quickly glaze over.

Democrats Suffer From Significant Enthusiasm Gap

By: Thursday July 24, 2014 10:59 am

While Democrats hold a small two-point lead in the generic Congressional ballot, the big problem for them is their voters aren’t enthusiastic about turning out. According to Pew Research poll, enthusiasm among Democratic voters at this time in the midterm cycle is the lowest it has been in years. Only 37 percent of those who [...]

Sen. Schumer Calls for the National Adoption of Top-Two Primaries

By: Tuesday July 22, 2014 10:20 am

One of the highest ranking members in the United States Senate is calling for a big change in the way we run our elections. In a New York Times Op-ed Sen. Chuck Schumer (D-NY) blamed partisan primaries for much of the polarization and gridlock in Washington right now. So he is calling for a national [...]

This One Chart Illustrates Why Hillary Clinton Is in Such a Dominating Position

By: Thursday July 17, 2014 12:59 pm

If you want a very simple explanation why Hillary Clinton is not only the 2016 Democratic frontrunner but also able to scare off any serious competition, you need only look at this graph from Gallup. Regardless how you feel about Clinton, this is remarkable. This level of familiarity among the public is unheard of for [...]

The 2016 Republican Frontrunner Is Rand Paul

By: Thursday July 17, 2014 9:52 am

A series of polls out today makes it clear the frontrunner in the 2016 Republicans presidential primary is actually Senator Rand Paul (R-KY). The latest Marist-NBC polls in the early primary states of Iowa and New Hampshire have Paul in the top spot. In New Hampshire Paul is winning 14 percent of potential Republican electorate, [...]

Plan to Split California into Six States Might Make the Ballot

By: Tuesday July 15, 2014 10:37 am

One billionaire’s effort to turn California from one state into six has taken a big step forward. The Six Californias campaign claims they likely have enough signatures to make the ballot and plan to turn them in Tuesday. The plan is the brainchild and project of Tim Draper, the founder of a Silicon Valley venture [...]

Mayor Rahm Emanuel’s Political Future Might be in Real Trouble

By: Monday July 14, 2014 12:17 pm

It appears that things aren’t going very well for Chicago Mayor Rahm Emanuel and his hopes for reelection. A new poll shows him trailing two possible challengers by wide margins. An Early & Often Poll for Chicago Sun Times found both Chicago Teachers Union president Karen Lewis and Cook County Board President Toni Preckwinkle with big [...]

Apparently, 32 Percent of Voters aren’t Paying Attention to How Our Elections Work

By: Monday July 14, 2014 10:30 am

A new Rasmussen poll found that 68 percent of  voters think the election rules are rigged to help incumbents, which means there is still 32 percent of the voters who aren’t paying enough attention. Obviously, the reason this number is so high is because it is true. When Congress has an approval rating in the [...]

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